大恐慌時との比較


NYの株価が下げ続けています。

下図は、1929年の大恐慌、1989年のバブル崩壊との比較です。
現在の状況は、2009年からのラリーが終わり、ピークから下げ始めた処のように思えます。

次回はただの恐慌ではなく、国家の崩壊と資本主義の崩壊を伴う大恐慌になるはずです。




Is The US Market About To Go “Mega-Bearish”?
http://www.prisonplanet.com/is-the-us-market-about-to-go-mega-bearish.html

Joe Weisenthal
Business Insider
June 6, 2011

It’s been awhile since we’ve looked in on this chart from Doug Short, but with the US market and economy looking wobbly again, it only seems wise.

It shows the current market up against two previous mega-bears (1929 and the great Nikkei bust), and as you can see — going back to the peak in 2000 — we’re somewhat, though obviously not precisely, in line with the others.

No doubt the current market rebound (ours is in blue) has well surpassed equivalent bounces from previous busts.

Mega-Bears


But suddenly the end of stimulus is looking at us square in the ey, and that’s worrisome because of this chart, which we’ve run before.

You need to enlarge it (click here) to see what’s going on, but basically the Nikkei — post bust — has lived or died based on stimulus measures, and has generally fallen in the absence of them.

Topix 79-

Given that, yes, we are, in a balance sheet recession marked by ongoing deleveraging, this chart — and the Japanese experience as a whole — remains quite relevant.


 
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